Take this for what it's worth...
RiehlWorldView: An analysis from the University of Colorado that has correctly predicted the outcome of presidential elections since 1980 is forecasting Mitt Romney as the winner this year.
Political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry found that the ailing economy spells trouble for the president’s re-election bid. The professors conduct a state-by-state analysis, incorporating economic data such as unemployment figures.
The results of their analysis show that Obama will win 218 votes in the electoral college, short of the 270 that he would need to be re-elected.
Here's to the swing-states pulling through with this prediction!